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Picks appear in bold.

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (-11)
The weather may be a factor and double-digit spreads with teams in the same division are always problematic, but the Bengals are just that bad. Don't be surprised if this one gets really ugly with Cincinnati not being able to move the ball at all.

Houston (+3) at Cleveland
I know the Texans are bad on the road, but they've been very close to pulling one out in each of the last three away games. In addition, I really like the matchup of Houston's offense versus Cleveland's defense.

Tampa Bay (-8) at Detroit
Sure, the Bucs are injured and the Lions have kept the margin under nine in five of their last six, but I just don't see how they're going to score against an underrated Tampa Bay defense.

Chicago (-7.5) at St. Louis
The Rams have been outscored 116-32 in their last three games. 'Nuff said.

New England (+2.5) at Miami
Considering the embarrassing manner in which the Fins beat the Pats in the first game, I think it's safe to say that Bill Belichick will have his team more than ready to play in this one. In addition, Matt Cassel has come a long way and is much more comfortable in the offense than he was in week three.

New York Jets at Tennessee (-5)
Do the Jets have the talent to beat the Titans? Absolutely. However, the Titans thrive on teams that take chances and whenever Brett Favre is your quarterback, that's exactly what you're doing.

San Francisco (+11) at Dallas
First of all, Dallas hasn't blown anyone out this year and with a still nicked-up Tony Romo, I don't see it happening here either. Second, since his first game as coach, Mike Singeltary has the 49ers playing inspired football.

Buffalo at Kansas City (+3)
The Chiefs have lost their last four games by a combined 18 points. Moreover, Tyler Thigpen has really played well since the adoption of the spread offense. On the other hand, the Bills are lost and are having a hard time establishing who they are on offense.

Philadelphia at Baltimore (PK)
After watching last week's debacle against Cincinnati and with an injured Brian Westbroook, I just don't see the Eagles moving the ball consistently against the Ravens. Obviously, Joe Johnson will do what he can to confuse Joe Flacco, but I like Baltimore to win a close one.

Minnesota at Jacksonville (-1.5)
Both of these teams have been disappointing this season, and are based on running the football and stopping the run. The Vikings have been better at both this season, but I liked what I saw from Jack Del Rio's crew last week against the Titans.

Oakland at Denver (-9)
After a couple of big road wins against Cleveland and Atlanta, I think the Broncos have righted the ship. Also, I just can't bring myself to take the Raiders right now, regardless of the spread.

Carolina (+1) at Atlanta
When you look at the box scores for the Panthers' games, you walk away many times wondering how they're leading one of the better divisions in football. However, when you combine a top-ten defense and running game, you realize they're simply  winning in the trenches.

Washington (-3) at Seattle
The Seahawks have been outscored 70-13 in two games against NFC East opponents (New York and Philadelphia) this year. I don't think an angry Redskins' team coming to town will help out those numbers.

New York Giants (-3) at Arizona
Right now, I'm taking the Giants against any team, at any location, and with any point spread. They're just that good.

Indianapolis (+3) at San Diego
I think that Peyton Manning and the rest of the offense is really starting to get back on track. As for the Chargers, they're the most frustrating team in football over the past ten years. I can't remember a more talented team being as inconsistent as Norv Turner's group.

Green Bay (+3) at New Orleans
Simply put, as much as I like Drew Brees' game right now, the Packers are just a better team. They're third-ranked passing defense will provide it difficult for the Saints to score points.

Last Week: 11-5
Season: 86-72-2