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Eh, I Was
Over .500 Anyway
Well, it wasn't
a great week, but I'm going to stick with the gag order
anyway. Let's see if we can keep it rolling.
Picks appear
in bold.
Tennessee
(-11) at Detroit
As I said in this week's power rankings, there are certain
traditions in sports that just shouldn't be tinkered with,
and the Lions on Thanksgiving are one of them. I realize
that we're a society based on "instant gratification", but I
think people are picking on the Lions. I don't remember this
much of an uproar when the Cowboys were going through their
rough patches in the late 80's.
Seattle at
Dallas (-11.5)
Fortunately for Mike Holmgren, this season is almost at
an end. Every time I see him, I can't help but think of an
old dog that needs to be put out of it's misery. OK, OK,
that's a little grim, but for an ultra-competitive guy, this
has got to be killing him.
Arizona
(+3) at Philadelphia
This would be one of Alfred Hitchcock's favorite games of
the season. Yeah, I know it was a bad joke, but I just
couldn't help myself. Both of these teams really proved
something to me last week. The Cardinals proved they can
hang with anyone this year. The Eagles proved that they
can't wait to play golf.
Miami
(-7.5) at St. Louis
With St. Louis giving up almost 163 rushing yards per game,
I have very little confidence that they'll be able to stop
the Dolphins' running game. In addition, Joey Porter has to
be licking his chops as he prepares for a team that has
given up more than three sacks per game.
Carolina at
Green Bay (-3)
Obviously, the Packers' performance on Monday night
makes this a very dubious pick, but I can't get around the
poor play of the Panthers on the road. Jake Delhomme is
simply too inconsistent on the road and Green Bay will be
playing for their playoff lives.
New York
Giants (-3) at Washington
As I said last week, I'm taking the Giants regardless of who
they're playing or the point spread. Moreover, the limping
Skins' defense, London Fletcher in particular, will have a
really hard time against New York's powerful rushing attack.
San Francisco
at Buffalo (-6.5)
If you read this site, you know how much I think of Mike
Singletary, but it's hard to pick the 49ers when they have
to travel across the country and play in what should be very
cold and wet conditions.
Baltimore
(-6.5) at Cincinnati
To be honest, I don't think this pick needs much of an
explanation.
Indianapolis (-4.5) at Cleveland
After last week's putrid performance against the Texans,
this line is extremely hard for me to comprehend. Barring a
couple of mistakes made by Sage Rosenfels, Houston was able
to throw at will against the Browns. I don't see why the
people in Vegas think this one will be different.
New Orleans
at Tampa Bay (-3.5)
While Drew Brees is having an incredible year by all
means of measurement, I can't get over the fact that Tampa
Bay is ranked second in the league against the pass. A more
telling statistic may be that the Bucs are 5-0 at home and
the Saints are 1-4 away from the Superdome.
Atlanta at
San Diego (-4.5)
Norv Turner's crew has been one of the most
disappointing and infuriating teams I can remember. There's
no way that a team that talented should be 4-7 at this point
of the season. However, one of the rules I've always
considered important is that young teams just aren't the
same on the road.
Denver at
New York Jets (-7.5)
Actually, my favorite bet in this game would be the over
at 48 points. I just don't see either team stopping the
other. Since both defenses play the pass poorly, I like the
Jets because they'll have an easier time running against an
undersized Broncos' defensive front.
Kansas City
at Oakland (-3)
Seriously, does anyone really care?
Pittsburgh
(+1) at New England
As I said in the power rankings, I haven't totally bought
into the Matt Cassel hype and this will be the game that
determines how far he's actually come along. I just have a
feeling Dick Lebeau will have a few looks and wrinkles that
the New England quarterback won't be expecting.
Chicago at
Minnesota (-3)
The Vikings are still smarting over the "one that got
away" in Chicago last month. In that game, Minnesota turned
the ball over five times and made just about every special
teams mistake in the book.
Jacksonville
at Houston (-3)
Three reasons for this pick: 1. Reliant Stadium will be
packed and in a frenzy for the first Monday night game in
town since the early 90's. 2. The Texans' offense has proven
all year that it can move the ball against anyone and they
should be able to do so in this game as well. 3. There was
definitely a change in defensive philosophy last week as
Houston brought pressure for much of the game in Cleveland.
The result was the defense's best performance of the season.
Last Week:
8-7-1
Season: 94-79-3
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