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Albert Einstein once said that true genius comes from realizing that you don't know anything. After this past week, I realize that I am not a genius and I don't know a thing about the National Football League. If someone would have told me Saturday night that Miami would beat the ever-living-tar out of New England, I would have asked if there was problem with the Patriots team bus, or if there was some rare flesh-eating disease ravishing the northeast. In the same vein, if another person mentioned that Cincinnati would take the Giants to overtime, I would have wondered if said disease had traveled south to the Jersey area. What a goofy season this is turning out to be!

Picks appear in bold.

Arizona (+1) at New York Jets
After Brett Favre's play last week against the Chargers, it looks like he might be regressing into the 2006 version. I'm going to have a hard time taking them for the rest of the year.

Minnesota at Tennessee (-3)
Let's just put it this way, I trust Kerry Collins more than Gus Frerotte.

Houston (+8) at Jacksonville
I have a feeling I'm going to regret this, but the Texans have to start playing like the fringe team we all thought they'd be sometime.

Denver (-9.5) at Kansas City
Right now, Jay Cutler and Brandon Marshall are the best players at their respective positions.

San Francisco at New Orleans (-4.5)
There was a lot of money coming in on San Francisco this week. I guess that blowout win over the Lions was very impressive to some people. For the life of me, I can't imagine why.

Atlanta at Carolina (-7)
Jake Delhomme and Steve Smith may need a little time to gel or simply the Falcons coming to town will do it.

Cleveland (+3.5) at Cincinnati
Not to trot out an old cliche, but this is a make-or-break game for the Browns. With games against the Giants, Redskins, and Jaguars following, they have to win or they could start out 0-7.

Green Bay (+1.5) at Tampa Bay
It's not that I don't like the Bucs, but I can't really see the reasoning behind this line. To me anyways, the Packers are just a far superior team.

Buffalo (-8) at St. Louis
I know this statement will sound ridiculous, but this game will be a big test for the Bills. On the road as a prohibitive favorite is much more difficult in the NFL as it seems.

San Diego (-7.5) at Oakland
I liked the way the Raiders competed last week, but, and I might be reading too much into the tea leaves here, I think the Chargers' win last week will prove to be a watershed moment.

Washington (+11.5) at Dallas
Simply put, there are simply too many points for a game between these two rivals.

Philadelphia (-3) at Chicago
Brian Westbrook's status is still unclear, but Donovan McNabb and the Eagles' defense pressuring Kyle Orton will prove to be too much for Lovie Smith's team to handle.

Baltimore at Pittsburgh (5.5)
It will be interesting to see how Rashard Mendenhall fares in his increased role this week. Personally, I don't think we'll see much of a dropoff, except in protection schemes. Obviously, for the Steelers that's been a big problem this year. On the other hand, I can't see the Ravens mounting much of an offensive attack against Pittsburgh.

Last Week: 6-10
Season: 22-24-1