Crypto betting platforms universally use decimal odds. Decimal odds = total payout per $1 staked (including your stake return). Arsenal at 3.50 means: $1 stake returns $3.50 total ($2.50 profit + $1 stake back). A favourite is any team with odds below 2.00 (implied probability above 50%). The favourite in a 1X2 market is the team with the lowest decimal odds.
Calculating Implied Probability
Implied probability = 1 ÷ decimal odds × 100. Arsenal at 3.50 = 1/3.50 × 100 = 28.6% implied win probability. Man City at 1.65 = 1/1.65 × 100 = 60.6% implied win probability. Draw at 3.80 = 26.3%. Total: 60.6 + 26.3 + 28.6 = 115.5% — the 15.5% above 100% is the bookmaker’s margin.
Understanding the Bookmaker Margin
Because implied probabilities add up to more than 100%, the bookmaker always has an edge. The lower the total implied probability, the better for bettors. On Stake.com, PL 1X2 typically adds to 102.8–104% total. On 1xBit, it adds to 105–107%. Always calculate the total implied probability before betting — this tells you the exact cost.
Converting Fractional and American Odds
Fractional odds (UK): 5/1 = 5.00 decimal. 2/1 = 3.00 decimal. 1/2 = 1.50 decimal. American odds: +200 = 3.00 decimal. -150 = 1.67 decimal. Crypto sites use decimal — if you are more comfortable with fractional, use an online odds converter until decimal becomes intuitive.
Practical Examples with PL Matches
Man City vs Arsenal example odds: City 1.65 (implied 60.6%), Draw 3.80 (26.3%), Arsenal 5.20 (19.2%). Total implied = 106.1% — bookmaker margin is 6.1%. If you believe City’s true win probability is 65%, the value calculation is: (0.65 × 1.65) − 1 = 0.0725 — positive 7.25% expected value on that bet.
Key Takeaways
- Research with xG data and league statistics before placing wagers
- Use USDT TRC-20 for fastest, cheapest deposits and withdrawals
- Apply bankroll management — 1-2 units per bet maximum
- Compare odds across 2-3 platforms to maximise long-term returns
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